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Scientific and technological innovation leads the high-quality development of the economy, and the 100tf (588,190) of Science and Technology Innovation may meet the layout window period. By midday on December 13th, the 100tf (588,190) of Science and Technology Innovation had fallen by 2.08%, with a turnover of 181 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Alice led the rise, and Hengxuan Technology followed suit. In terms of decline, Guo Dun Quantum led the decline, while Core Source followed slightly. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the conference, CITIC Jiantou said that "scientific and technological innovation" ranked first in the ranking of key tasks last year, and it was divided into independent segments and listed a number of emerging technologies, industries and tracks in a large space. This year's science and technology-related expressions focus on "artificial intelligence+",and we expect "AI+" to be the core variety of future science and technology themes. In addition, scientific and technological innovation is in the big paragraph of "new quality productivity" this year, ranking second in all key tasks. Wanlian Securities said that scientific and technological innovation is the vanguard to lead the high-quality economic development, and it is also the only way for the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, emerging industries and future industries to grow and develop.Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index fell by 1.66%, Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.95%, Hong Kong stocks closed at noon, Hang Seng Index fell by 1.66% and Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.95%. Sunac China fell more than 6%, while Xpeng Motors and CITIC Securities fell more than 4%.Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 30-year main contracts up 0.74%, 10-year main contracts up 0.41%, 5-year main contracts up 0.28% and 2-year main contracts up 0.09%.

Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.The 2024 Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Promotion Conference was held. On December 12th, the 2024 Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Promotion Conference was held in Shenyang. More than 150 government and enterprise guests from more than 20 countries including South Korea, Germany and France and Hong Kong and Macao attended the conference, and conducted in-depth exchanges on topics such as ice and snow tourism, ice and snow sports and ice and snow equipment manufacturing. This promotion meeting is an important sub-activity of "Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation and Negotiation Activities". It is understood that the "Liaoning International Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Negotiation Activity" will last for three days, during which activities such as Liaoning Ice and Snow Economic Theme Exhibition, Liaoning-Europe and America Ice and Snow Economic Cooperation Exchange Conference and Liaoning Ice and Snow Economic Industry Tour will be held, aiming at deepening the exchanges and cooperation between Liaoning Province and the world in the field of ice and snow economy, jointly exploring new opportunities for the development of global ice and snow industry and building a brand of winter economic and trade cooperation in Liaoning Province. (Liaoning Daily)Hong Kong stock black sesame intelligence once rose more than 20%. The company was recently included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, and its interim net profit turned a profit year-on-year.

The transformation bull of China stock market is taking shape. The intraday volatility of A50ETF Huabao (159596) meets the layout window. On December 13th, the market fluctuated and adjusted in early trading. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) fell by 2.13%, with a turnover of 69.36 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Yangtze Power rose; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. Guotai Junan believes that the positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.China, Shimao Group, Sunac China, Longhu Group, R&F Property, Longguang Group, China Jinmao, Greentown China, Vanke, China Overseas Development, Ocean Shipping Group, Agile, Yuexiu Property and Xincheng Development all fell by over 9%, 6% and 5% respectively.